Sunday, April 28, 2013

Karnataka Elections: Probability and Prediction (ಕರ್ನಾಟಕ ಚುನಾವಣೆ ಸಮೀಕ್ಷೆ) - 2013


Karnataka Elections Party winning Probability (ಕರ್ನಾಟಕ ಚುನಾವಣೆ ಸಮೀಕ್ಷೆ)
ಬ್ರಾಕೆಟ್ ನಲ್ಲಿ ತೋರಿಸಿರುವ ಸಂಖ್ಯೆ,ಆ ಪಾರ್ಟಿ ಅಥವಾ ಸ್ಪರ್ಧಿ ಸ್ವಲ್ಪ ಅಂತರದಲ್ಲಿ ಅಚ್ಚರಿ ಮೂಡಿಸಿ ಗೆಲ್ಲಬಹುದು.
Numbers in bracket say that the party or candidate may win surprisingly by close margin or can give close fight(u can say runnerup or surprise winner)

BJP : 72(34)
Cong : 87(47)
JDS : 50(28)
BSR : 1(2)
KJP : 11(14)
IND & OTH : 3(3)
Constituency
BJP
Cong
JDS
BSR
KJP
Independent
1
(1)
0
0
0
0
(1)
1
0
0
0
0
(1)
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
(1)
0
0
0
(1)
0
1
0
0
0
0
(1)
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
(1)
1
0
0
0
0
(1)
0
1
0
0
0
1
(1)
0
0
0
0
1
(1)
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
(1)
1
0
0
0
0
1
(1)
0
0
0
0
(1)
1
0
0
0
0
1
(1)
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
(1)
1
0
0
0
1
(1)
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
(1)
0
0
0
0



1



1





(1)
1




1


(1)


(1)
1




1
(1)




1
(1)





1
(1)




1



1

(1)



1





1





1





1





1






1
(1)




(1)
1




1
(1)




(1)
1




1
(1)





(1)

1



1


1
1






1





(1)
1





1




1





1


(1)



1


(1)
1

(1)



1
(1)




1
(1)


(1)

1
(1)





1
(1)



1






1





1




(1)
1






1




1





1






1

(1)

1

(1)




1





1






1



1
(1)




1

(1)




1
(1)




1


(1)

1

(1)



1





(1)
1





1
(1)







1


1
(1)



1






1


(1)



1



(1)



1


1
(1)



(1)
1





1




1

(1)




(1)


1



1




1


(1)


1


(1)

1
(1)




1





(1)
1




1





1



(1)

(1)

1



1






1





(1)


1


1


(1)

1
(1)




1






1




1
(1)





1
(1)



1
(1)





1




(1)

1




1





1
(1)



1
(1)




1
(1)




1





1






1





(1)



1


1



(1)
1




1






1




1







1





1



1
(1)





1



(1)


1








1


1

(1)

(1)
1




(1)
1






1





1



(1)
1




1







1



1






1
(1)



(1)

1



1







1


(1)

1




1
(1)




1





1






(1)


1


1





1






1



1
(1)





(1)
1




1




1





1
(1)




1






(1)
1




1


(1)


1





1




(1)
1




(1)

1





1



1





1






(1)
1





1




1





1





1






1



(1)



1

(1)

1





1




(1)
1




(1)


1

1
(1)




(1)
1





1





1
(1)




(1)


1


1




(1)
1




(1)
1





1





1




1
(1)








1

(1)
1




(1)
1




1

(1)




1




(1)

1




1
(1)





1




1
(1)



1
(1)





1





1
(1)



(1)
1




1






1


(1)

1
(1)





(1)
1




(1)
1




1






(1)

1

1
(1)




1



(1)

(1)
1




(1)

1





1





1




1





1




1
(1)




1
(1)





1





1
(1)



(1)
1




1


(1)


(1)






1





1




TOTAL
72(34)
87(47)
50(28)
1(2)
11(14)
3(3)

1 comment:

  1. Bull shit! get ready to delete this post on 8th May!

    ReplyDelete